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What If There Is A Stalemate?

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Inkwell Institute

Middle East desk

We all have an opinion on the situation that has developed in Libya…..I have made my views known (go to search and type in Libya…if interested) and I have even asked a few questions that I would like to see answered….many readers have offered up their opinions and insights and we will just have to wait an see who may be right…..after writing my last post…I had another question that nudged into my bleeding brain……with all the fighting in the North of Libya….what if there is a stalemate….what then?

And a stalemate is in the making….loyal Qaddafi forces are using regular vehicles in attacks so that aircraft cannot discern who is who….a clever bit of strategy……

First of all I need to say a word or …well maybe a bunch….about what I see is going on in Europe (I would like for my friends, especially Quin to help me out since I am not there) with this military action…..

In the UK……will this action strengthen Cameron’s position?  From what I see he is having a time with the public….could he gain from the participation of the UK in this conflict with Qadafi and his forces?  Is there public support for the action?

France……Sarkozy has been a bitch when dealing with this thing…..his popularity is waning…nationalists and socialists have made in roads into local governments giving them an upper hand when the next election comes around….so Sarkozy is hoping that this action will improve his political capital….he wants to be in the lead for that will make him a DeGaulle-esque figure….if all goes well……

There was a recent meeting in London of the major players……….

As the Guardian noted, Cameron and Clinton were careful in their remarks at the conference to refrain from directly repeating their demand that Gaddafi step down, because among the governments represented at the conference there are differences over openly making regime-change an aim of the war.

“Cameron did not repeat his demand for Gaddafi to stand down immediately and to face justice at the International Criminal Court,” the Guardian noted. “The conference is attended by Ahmet Davutoglu, the Turkish foreign minister, who is hoping to broker a ceasefire between Gaddafi and the rebel forces. Franco Frattini, the foreign minister of Libya’s former imperial ruler, Italy, who has raised the prospect of spiriting Gaddafi to exile, is also attending.”

The bit about “Qadafi Must Go” is waning….as if they are setting up a scenario for him to stay…let surmise that that occurs…..what then….will Libya be partitioned?  I am sorry….but Libya’s natural resources that are in abundance makes me think there is something afoot here………OK…that may be a bit of a conspiracy theory….but happenings from the past does not rule it out!



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